Hi,
Good that you are tackling this very important question now. Compiling a verifiable data set over as long a period as you can is a great science project. Your hypothesis could be something like:
Increasing environmental temperatures over [some number of years] promotes invasion of [whatever organisms, plant or animal, that you choose] into [a certain land or ocean ecosystem].
Or, if you want to look at a phenomenon you could make a hypothesis that says something like:
Increasing average temperatures [in a certain period] results in reduction [or increase] in [some measurable phenomenon like number of chicks produced in a bird colony or population numbers of certain insects like butterflies]
Remember that you can also do vertical ecosystems in the mountains where you look at data about changes in a species range or appearance or behavior over a certain range of altitudes over a number of years because of warming. Animals like pikas are very sensitive to heat and populations will plummet if annual temperatures rise too much too soon:
https://www.earthtouchnews.com/conserva ... k-rabbits/
This is where the work comes in. You will have to decide on a certain area of the world to focus on, either land or water, and there has to be reliable temperature data for this area going back as many years as possible--the more the better. Land ecosystems seem to be more susceptible to temperature fluctuations--extremes of high and low temp's--as well as increases in average monthly temperatures.
What you need to do for a project is to determine if there is a correlation between the temperature data in a specific area and some measurable event which may or may not involve an invasive species.
I know this sounds difficult so here are some examples I found on the web to get you thinking along these lines:
1. Butterfly ranges in Massachusetts, USA, are shifting because of increasing average temperatures.
https://www.nature.com/scitable/blog/gr ... utterflies
2. Invasion of European earthworm species across North America attributed to global warming
https://www.nature.com/articles/srep06890
3. Will climate change make invasions even worse?
http://datanuggets.org/wp-content/uploa ... dent-A.pdf
4. Plants have unexpected responses to temperature changes.
http://www.sciencemag.org/news/2014/08/ ... ate-change
5. Effects of increased water temp on fish feeding and behavior
https://cornerstone.lib.mnsu.edu/cgi/vi ... ontext=jur
You can find many more examples of the effects of climate change on plants or animals, so you have to decide what interests you and if you can get access to temperature and species data. For example, I know Atlantic ocean temperatures are available through the NOAA Centers for Environmental Information:
https://www.nodc.noaa.gov/cwtg/
http://www.ndbc.noaa.gov/
NOAA is also involved with the archiving of land temperatures so they would be a good place to start looking if you choose a land-based project.
The hardest part, I think, will be getting access to species data. You'll have to do a lot of searching online and see what's available. Remember you can always call a research university in your area and ask them how to get data on a certain species. Scientists are always glad to help young students do projects in their field.
Hopefully there are some experts on this forum with more experience in ecology research than I have so they can help with suggestions on where you can get species data.
Good luck!
Sybee