Advice for solar physics project
Posted: Sat Dec 07, 2024 1:06 am
Hi!
I am a grade 11 student, who worked on ICME research(interplanetary coronal mass ejections). These events pose a profound threat to the technological-modern world. Critical systems, including major communications networks, satellites, electric grids, and crucial electronics, can cease to function and be permanently damaged by space weather events. Therefore, it is essential to better understand the evolution of these events to increase the accuracy of prediction of the arrival time of ICMEs on Earth. To achieve this, I looked at a relationship between parameters of the event that has not been exclusively studied together, they have been assumed to be related to each in studies focusing on propagation and expansion separately.
In my project my two-decade analysis of Interplanetary Coronal Mass Ejections (ICMEs) reveals no correlation between propagation acceleration and expansion acceleration, suggesting that these mechanisms are driven by different forces. Traditionally, most models and datasets focus solely on propagation speeds, neglecting the role of expansion. My study demonstrates that predictive models for ICME arrival times and speeds should also consider expansion acceleration to account for the size of the ICME. Incorporating both propagation and expansion processes is crucial, as the size and speed of an ICME significantly influence its interaction with Earth's magnetosphere. I also used alternative methods, which are different from the literature to calculate these values using Python algorithms.
I am not sure how strong of a project it is for science fairs, and I do not know how I can go more in-depth or extend it to reach the level of ISEF. Can someone please advise me on how I can go about this?
I am a grade 11 student, who worked on ICME research(interplanetary coronal mass ejections). These events pose a profound threat to the technological-modern world. Critical systems, including major communications networks, satellites, electric grids, and crucial electronics, can cease to function and be permanently damaged by space weather events. Therefore, it is essential to better understand the evolution of these events to increase the accuracy of prediction of the arrival time of ICMEs on Earth. To achieve this, I looked at a relationship between parameters of the event that has not been exclusively studied together, they have been assumed to be related to each in studies focusing on propagation and expansion separately.
In my project my two-decade analysis of Interplanetary Coronal Mass Ejections (ICMEs) reveals no correlation between propagation acceleration and expansion acceleration, suggesting that these mechanisms are driven by different forces. Traditionally, most models and datasets focus solely on propagation speeds, neglecting the role of expansion. My study demonstrates that predictive models for ICME arrival times and speeds should also consider expansion acceleration to account for the size of the ICME. Incorporating both propagation and expansion processes is crucial, as the size and speed of an ICME significantly influence its interaction with Earth's magnetosphere. I also used alternative methods, which are different from the literature to calculate these values using Python algorithms.
I am not sure how strong of a project it is for science fairs, and I do not know how I can go more in-depth or extend it to reach the level of ISEF. Can someone please advise me on how I can go about this?